Showing posts with label Random. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Random. Show all posts

Sunday, August 19, 2012

Raising the Bar?

I've actually been thinking of this for a while, and just hadn't had the opportunity to get around to posting it. It has to do with the NBA age rule, specifically relating to the draft, how a player is not draft eligible until he reaches the age of 19, in other words, 1 year removed from high school graduation. While our concept of high school stars making it big include the likes of Kobe Bryant, Kevin Garnett, and LeBron James, we do also have to wonder if perhaps some players like Gerald Green or Eddy Curry may have rushed it a bit and would have been better served playing some more organized basketball prior to their jump to the big leagues. Many believed that high school graduates lacked the maturity to handle the rigors and difficulties involved in being a professional athlete. Thus, came the one-and-done rule. The new era of stars like Kevin Durant and Derrick Rose and the most recent number one overall pick Anthony Davis all indicating that they were going to enter the draft immediately following their freshman year of college. Yet, we still hear stories about people mishandling their entrance into the professional field (i.e. Greg Oden and Hasheem Thabeet). Why? My argument is simply that the age rule is not in place to develop good basketball players that can effectively manage their lives in the limelight of the NBA and realize their full basketball potential, but rather, a lifeline to send popular cash cows to the NCAA for at least a year.

I will be frank with you, I don't really like NCAA basketball. The play is sloppy and execution is haphazard at best. It's designed the way it is partially because of the number of teams, but the game itself is not conducive to development of skill but rather last minute heroics and luck. Everyone that argues that the game is more "pure" because players aren't playing for the money fail to realize money is what almost every single player that makes college basketball enjoyable to watch is playing for. They're jockeying for draft position, because the higher it is, the more money you get. Jesse Blanchard at 48minutesofhell writes in regards to the interesting Spurs draft pick of Cory Joseph in 2011 mostly in regards to how for Cory Joseph, while his game may not have been ready for the NBA, it was better for him to enter the draft because the NCAA would have stunted his basketball growth. I'm going to say it again, NCAA basketball is not good basketball, the tournament and game formats are structured in a way to promote unpredictability, I mean, let's face it, upsets are what make March Madness interesting to most people, because in a single game, anything can happen. That being said, those kind of heroic antics hardly ever translate well into the pros. So let's face it, even if you are the go-to guy on your team, unless you are some sort of otherworldly talent like Kevin Durant, you're not going to be the go-to guy on your NBA team.

But I'm not here to write an extensive bash on the NCAA and how it's a poorly conceived system for growing players into the professional basketball arena. Rather, I'm here to propose an alternative solution. This comes also in the wake of the Olympic games where David Stern has been pressuring FIBA to implement an under 23 years old age limit on eligible participants in Olympic basketball (and likely all subsequent FIBA world tournaments). This is to help owners "protect their players" from injury due to a heavy schedule of playing both in the regular season and in the summer. If implemented, it would be a decidedly economic, unpatriotic move on the part of NBA and its team owners.

My take on it is simple, the only place where Olympic participation can be arguably waning for basketball, would be potentially the USA, but let's be honest, the US could feasibly put out a squad of borderline all-stars and still arguably contend for a gold medal. Granted with the recent development of high caliber talent overseas in countries like Spain, France, Russia, Germany, Argentina, and Brazil, I think the contest would be significantly closer than it was 20 years ago when the Dream Team first took the floor. That being said, there is no other team that could literally boast an essentially All-Star game lineup of Deron Williams, Kobe Bryant, LeBron James, Kevin Durant, Tyson Chandler, Chris Paul, Russell Westbrook, Andre Iguodala, Carmelo Anthony, Kevin Love, and Anthony Davis (remember this is AFTER Chris Bosh, Dwayne Wade, Blake Griffin, among others had dropped out of the team) on the floor. That being said, while the number of players is growing from overseas, a majority of NBA talent is still from the US. So if Team USA decides that it doesn't want to field older players to help them preserve their professional career, that's USA's prerogative. Owners then have to realize that unlike in the US, representing your national team is kind of a big deal elsewhere, and if other players from other countries want to represent their countries in a global tournament (like the Olympics) then that is simply the risk involved with investing in an international player. Granted the biggest rub may in actuality be the fact that the Olympics make a ton of money off of these players that these owners are already paying for, but I'm not going to get into the greed aspect of basketball here either.

I want to talk about my solution to the above issues that have been brought up: player development, the age rule, and a strictly U23 international basketball representation. Now this is how I believe the US could most effectively handle the situation, but granted, I understand that this probably won't happen because well, frankly it could well mean the death of NCAA basketball, but I believe there may be a way around that as well. Simply put, what if to get in the NBA, there was required of each player "2 years of professional experience"? How do we do that? Well, I believe that for foreign players, that generally isn't an issue, as many of them are playing for professional clubs by around the age of 16 or so. By the time they are draft eligible, you could argue that they have had a certain amount of experience. Of course, you could require 2 years of Euroleague or some professional equivalent of play, provided that it was on an adult men's team rather than a U18 team and such. So on that front, I'm not really concerned at all. Most of our best international players (i.e. the Gasol brothers, Dirk Nowitzki, Tony Parker, etc...) have already met this criteria. 

Now for the US. How would we handle this? Well we already presumably have a farm system in place, at least that's what the NBDL is supposed to be. What if we used this in conjunction with Team USA basketball to form our solution. What if, prior to entering into the NBA, each player is required to play through a minimum 2 year contract in the D-League? What I would envision is basically prior to becoming eligible for the NBA draft, all prospective players must go through a tryout process, the top 15 players are placed onto the Team USA roster (whereby helping USA meeting the potential 23 and under rule), and are required to play in through at least one of the FIBA nationals tournaments or the Olympics. Granted this is a single tournament, you could feasibly include this team as a team in the D-League, which would play against other D-League teams. Then, Stern would form 3 other non-affiliated D-League teams for the other top 45 players (presumably those that would have been drafted) on restricted 2 year contracts. Any player on this contract can be traded but cannot receive a call up if traded to an affiliate team. After the two year contracts end, all players become eligible for the draft, which would presumably include players who had been playing in Euroleague for the past 2 years. Stern could feasibly raise the age limit to 20 and this would still work.

Why do I think this would be a good idea? Well, first off, it helps develop players, the non-affiliated teams, and even the affiliated D-League teams, would have NBA-caliber coaches, be playing against near-NBA caliber competition, and playing the NBA-style game. This would help players develop their raw talent into skills that would effectively translate into the NBA. Secondly, this also allows for teams to get a better idea of what players would look like in an NBA setting or at least against professional level athletes and athleticism. The main obstacle would presumably be the difference in money, and maybe my perspective is different. While the pay may not be as lucrative as Europe, I am sure Brandon Jennings and Josh Childress can attest to the difficulty of going to Europe to play. Perhaps the NBDL salaries need to be raised somewhat, but gradually moving the players up in salary instead of throwing $5 million at the feet of a 19 year old may be more feasible in expecting them to make good financial decisions. I had a co-worker who also proposed that perhaps colleges can implement a 2-year professional athlete associates degree with classes on money management and such which is required prior to any professional play. I think that's a pretty good idea too, and frankly, something like this may keep the NCAA alive.

The NBA is already the highest caliber of play in the world, but that doesn't mean there isn't room for improvement. I think something like this could potentially be an effective tool to get the most out of each player.

Wednesday, February 8, 2012

An open letter to Jeremy Lin

Dear Jeremy,

I hope you don't mind if I call you Jeremy.

First things first. Congratulations, because you made it.

This will probably be a drop in the bucket compared to all the stuff being written about you by Knicks bloggers, by Warriors bloggers, and just by surprised sports bloggers in general. You've had two big games, and hey, you don't have to listen to me, because frankly, you make almost 20x more than I do a year in salary (which I believe you will be getting guaranteed soon). Regardless of all that hype, regardless of the cheers or jeers of the fickle fans in Madison Square Garden, know that at the very least, you're the hero of every Asian-American male under 35 who used to pretend he was [insert favorite NBA player here] on his 8 (maybe 7) foot rim in his driveway. You are someone we can point to and say, "See, you don't have to be a doctor or computer programmer to make money." That's a lot of pressure, but you made it. You've shown that you don't have to be a 7-6 freak of nature from China to make it. Despite all the adversity, you made it, and we're proud of you.

Now you don't have to listen to a single thing I say, in fact, you probably won't even read this, but I'd like to give you a little bit of perspective (from where I'm sitting). You're going to continue to be scrutinized to a high degree, because well, NBA bloggers are diligent about what they do, and Knicks fans are well, generally crazy. People are going to continue to draw Steve Nash comparisons because well, you play for Mike D'Antoni, and you're breaking the "Asian man can't ball" stereotype like Nash broke the "white man can't ball" stereotype. Now I'll be the first to admit that I suck at basketball, and honestly, I don't watch it enough either to call myself anything more than a slightly-less-than-casual fan. So I don't have great credibility when I talk about technical basketball things. I could say how I think you've got a great feel for running the pick-and-roll, and I can talk about how a guy like Tyson Chandler must be a nice big target for you. At the end of the day though, people more credible and knowledgeable than I will be talking about your explosive first step, your creativity at getting to the rim while questioning your iffy jumper and athleticism. You probably hear enough of this stuff from your coaches and trainers. I know you've worked hard to get to where you are, and I'm glad you've taken a hold of this opportunity to shine.

I'd like to give you some more practical, personal advice. Now, I don't know a whole lot about being an NBA player, in fact I know absolutely nothing. Frankly, because I don't trust 2K Sports or EA Sports to make a game with any semblance of reality built in, and well, because at the end of the day, the people with the most experience, like Charles Barkley, are really just paid to say funny things that sound like they're related to basketball. I applaud your passion for the game, but also, I applaud your passion for Christ. People might (especially New Yorkers) get annoyed or offended that you try to glorify God in every interview that you have, but I appreciate your faith and your trust in how God has provided for you. Never lose that. Whether you become the next Steve Nash or the next Steve Blake, I hope that you never lose your passion for your faith. While I think you know better than I whose game you should emulate (maybe Jason Kidd?) on the court, I would ask that as you take a step back and consider, that you would emulate your career after the likes of David Robinson (Tim Tebow is also I believe someone whom you could look up to, though it is football). Now that you've made it, lots of doors open up for you, I hope then that you take the opportunity to meet with said people and get perspective. I know you're basketball game will keep growing, but it's how you grow with that game that's going to make the biggest impact of all.

Again, I'm glad you made it. I don't know that you'll read this, I don't know that you don't already know everything I've just said. That being said, I've had a blast watching you and hope to see much more. Great job Jeremy.

Sincerely,

A fan

Tuesday, November 30, 2010

Playing Like a Super Star: It's not just in the numbers

You knew I would get to this eventually.  I just had to, there's so much to write about here.  Really.  The Miami Heat are now 10-8 after a much needed win against a dismal Washington Wizard's squad.  10-8.  That puts them smack between Chicago (9-6) and Indiana (8-7), 5th overall in the Eastern Conference, which is exactly where they were last season 5th in the Easter Conference.  We're talking about a team that replaced Dorrell Wright, Michael Beasley, Quentin Richardson, and Jermaine O'Neal with LeBron James, Chris Bosh, Mike Miller, and Zydrunas Ilgauskas.  Okay, so Miller has yet to play a game, Haslem is out for the season, but really?  This is the team we were itching to break the 1996 Chicago Bulls' 72-10 record?  I mean, sure they can win 63 of the next 64 and do that...  Seriously though.

You can gripe all you want about how Miami doesn't have that defensive minded point guard they need (read: George Hill), how they don't have a real center that can live off of crashing the boards (read: Tyson Chandler), etc... What does it ultimately come down to though?  The Miami Heat aren't a good team.  Don't get me wrong, they are a team with awesome players, this is the makings of some broken roster on some version of an NBA basketball game or another, but the difference between reality and the video game is that you can't "manufacture" team play.  If I know specifically what crossover leads me to an easy dunk, and I can hit cutters with anybody, sure, I'll average 10 assists a piece for both LeBron and Wade, heck, I'll have Udonis Haslem and Mike Miller averaging 20 points a game each.  Chris Bosh will average 25 ppg on 80% shooting.  I can do that all on a video game.  So far though, as we've seen, the lineup of random PG, Dwayne Wade, LeBron James, Chris Bosh, random C isn't working, but it should, right?

Outside of Chris Bosh (who's really just put up a lot of flashy numbers on a really bad team), no one can deny the mercurial talents that are Dwayne Wade and LeBron James.  They've consistently led mediocre teams into the playoffs year after year, and in 2006 (with the help of Shaq) Wade got a ring, and in 2007 James stunned the world by taking a less-than-mediocre Cavaliers (when Zydrunas Ilgauskas and Drew Gooden are your 2nd and 3rd leading scorers you are less than mediocre) to the Finals.  So you figure, when you put the perennial All-Star starting SG, SF, and PF together on one team you get awesomeness right?  I mean, it sort of worked with Boston, right?  or maybe we were just expecting awesomeness to just by bringing three awesome players together?  Well, look at how Carmelo Anthony and Allen Iverson ended up.  Sure they both averaged 25 ppg but Denver was still a pretty dismal team.

I think because of how good these players are, and how bad of a team they were on, and how far they took those bad teams (that and the fact that those teams, save maybe the 2006 Miami Heat, arguably, were never good with these players), we often overlook what it takes for a star of any caliber to help his team succeed.  The same scrutiny that Kobe Bryant endured sharing a starting lineup with Smush Parker and Chris Mihm.  In order for the Heat to succeed, they can't be just doing whatever it is they've been doing, i.e. chuck LeBron James/Dwayne Wade the ball and hope something good comes out of it.  Certainly not having any confidence in Mario Chalmers/Carlos Arroyo/Zydrunas Ilgauskas/Joel Anthony doesn't help, but frankly, they need more of an option than "give the best player on the floor the ball".  While Phil Jackson has been gifted with stellar talent like Kobe Bryant and Michael Jordan, why do his teams win?  Because Kobe/Michael "taking over" is more of a last resort than primary plan of attack.  We can argue all we want about both LeBron and Wade needing the ball in his hands to be effective, but at the end of the day 2 points is 2 points right?  It shouldn't matter if it's LeBron James or James Jones that scores 30 so long as Miami comes out with the win, right?  That's they're job as basketball players, to win.  We all believe that Wade and LeBron are a better pair than Iverson and Melo, why?  Because we still think Wade and LeBron do more than just score, and they've shown that they can (albeit in flashes, because they've been asked to score so much). 

Where am I going with all this?  First, the Heat need to understand what they are good at.  Does this mean moving without the ball?  Gasp! What a novel idea?  Ball movement?  Who would've thought!  Between LeBron and Wade there are enough handles where it shouldn't matter who the PG is.  If neither one wants those duties then you have to be willing to work within the system you have and not just hang around the triple threat zone waiting for your turn to go off.  Ultimately what it boils down to is this, as good as you are, as the star of your team, you're not going to win if you don't make your teammates better.  It's an intangible that's hard to measure or sometimes even point to, but ultimately, your team, your system, which is based around your star, has to make your other players play better than they would otherwise.  Sure Erik Spoelstra is doing his job in trying to motivate the team, but the person who ultimately does that is the best player on the team.  A lot of people criticize LeBron James for passing the ball to Donyell Marshall at the end of Game 2 of the Eastern Conference Finals in 2007, I don't, it was the right decision at the time.  That's what role players are there for, to fill a role, what the star does, is make their jobs easier for them.  Kelly Dwyer called LeBron out saying that if he's not going to get the bulk of the offensive possessions then he should be shutting down the opposition, hitting the glass harder, etc... and I completely agree.

The Miami Heat can totally get away with winning by just having better players on their roster, but until their stars get the rest of the team to step it up by example, just being awesome (on paper) is only going to get you so far, and that certainly isn't far enough to win a championship.  What do all these great championship stars have in common?  They lead by example.  Kobe Bryant will get in your face and basketball you to death, Tim Duncan lets Pop do that, and if Timmy's gonna get railed by the coach that means nobody's safe, because if the best PF of all time is going to listen to his coach, you figure everyone else should listen to him too, and right there I've accounted for 9 championships in the past 11 years.  Miami, you can sit on your laurels and just be a collection of awesome players, or you can have (one of) your stars emerge as a driving force that pushes the team to greatness.  It's more than just basketball, it's more than just the stats, the numbers are nice, but the rings are nicer.

Wednesday, October 27, 2010

Why all the big fuss?

Maybe I'm being cynical, maybe I'm a little jaded.  Maybe it's because I live in Seattle and frankly I should be the one going to games and raving about Kevin Durant, which causes me to be predispositioned to dislike the city that stole our team.  I'm a little confused as to how the Thunder all of sudden are considered contenders.  Don't get me wrong, I know they're good.  Are they really THAT good though?  As good as the Lakers?  As good as the Celtics?  The Magic?  Let's compare:



THUNDER LAKERS CELTICS MAGIC
PG Russell Westbrook Derek Fisher Rajon Rondo Jameer Nelson
SG Thabo Sefalosha Kobe Bryant Ray Allen Vince Carter
SF Kevin Durant Ron Artest Paul Pierce Quentin Richardson
PF Jeff Green Pau Gasol Kevin Garnett Rashard Lewis
C Nenad Kristic Andrew Bynum Kendrick Perkins Dwight Howard
Bench Eric Maynor Steve Blake Nate Robinson Chris Duhon
James Harden Shannon Brown Delonte West J.J. Redick
Morris Peterson Matt Barnes Marquis Daniels Mickael Pietrus
Nick Collison Lamar Odom Jermaine O'Neal Brandon Bass
Serge Ibaka Theo Ratliff Shaquille O'Neal Marcin Gortat
Cole Aldrich Luke Walton Glen Davis Ryan Anderson
D.J. White Sasha Vujacic Semih Erden Daniel Orton

I honestly can't say that the Thunder roster looks significantly better than any of the "contenders" out there, well, let's call them definitive contenders, as these three teams are the ones that made the Finals in the last two seasons.  I like the Thunder roster but not enough to call them contenders.  Am I short-selling Kevin Durant?  Maybe, but frankly, a single player doesn't win titles.  Can we definitively say that these OKC Thunder are definitively better than... say the 2009-2010 Cleveland Cavaliers?



THUNDER 2009/2010 CAVS
PG Russell Westbrook Mo Williams
SG Thabo Sefalosha Delonte West
SF Kevin Durant LeBron James
PF Jeff Green Antawn Jamison
C Nenad Kristic Shaquille O'Neal
Bench Eric Maynor Daniel Gibson
James Harden Anthony Parker
Morris Peterson Jamario Moon
Nick Collison Anderson Varejao
Serge Ibaka Zydrunas Ilgauskas
Cole Aldrich J.J. Hickson
D.J. White Jawad Williams


Really?  Let's assume that LeBron and Durant are a wash.  I know Westbrook is a significant upgrade over Williams, and the 2009/2010 Cavs dealt with a plethora of injury and chemistry issues, but really?  Can we say that the OKC is significantly better?  Is Jeff Green better than Antawn Jamison?

Per Game:

Rk Player Season Age G GS MP FG FGA FG% 3P 3PA 3P% FT FTA FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
1 Jeff Green 2009-10 23 82 82 37.1 5.9 13 0.453 1.3 3.8 0.333 2 2.7 0.74 1.4 4.6 6 1.6 1.3 0.9 1.6 2.7 15.1
2 Antawn Jamison 2009-10 33 66 64 36.5 7.2 15.7 0.461 1.3 3.7 0.344 2.9 4.5 0.647 2.1 6.3 8.4 1.3 1.1 0.3 1.4 2.7 18.7

Per 36:


Rk Player Season Age G GS MP FG FGA FG% 3P 3PA 3P% FT FTA FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
1 Jeff Green 2009-10 23 82 82 3043 5.7 12.7 0.453 1.2 3.7 0.333 2 2.6 0.74 1.3 4.5 5.8 1.6 1.2 0.9 1.6 2.6 14.7
2 Antawn Jamison 2009-10 33 66 64 2406 7.2 15.5 0.461 1.3 3.7 0.344 2.9 4.5 0.647 2 6.3 8.3 1.3 1.1 0.3 1.4 2.7 18.5

Well... they're pretty comparable, but Jamison shoots better, rebounds better, scores more, and gets to the line more.  Hrm...  They lost 4-2 to Boston in the Conference Semi-Finals.  A lot of people thought LeBron could do it, but I was pretty skeptical as to actually how good the team actually was, I see the same case here.  Sure Durant might be awesome, but at best I don't see that he's better than LeBron awesome.


Per 36:

Rk Player Season Age G GS MP FG FGA FG% 3P 3PA 3P% FT FTA FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
1 Kevin Durant 2009-10 21 82 82 3239 8.8 18.5 0.476 1.4 3.9 0.365 8.4 9.3 0.9 1.2 5.8 6.9 2.6 1.2 0.9 3 1.9 27.5
2 LeBron James 2009-10 25 76 76 2966 9.3 18.5 0.503 1.6 4.7 0.333 7.2 9.4 0.767 0.9 5.9 6.7 7.9 1.5 0.9 3.2 1.4 27.4

Now, honestly, they're about the same, except LeBron passes the ball better.  Aside from that most of the stats are fairly comparable.  With that then, I can't say that the Thunder are significantly better than any solid playoff team, I mean, statistically you can't really even say he's significantly better than Melo::

Per 36

Rk Player Season Age G GS MP FG FGA FG% 3P 3PA 3P% FT FTA FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
1 Carmelo Anthony 2009-10 25 69 69 2634 9.4 20.5 0.458 0.8 2.6 0.316 6.9 8.4 0.83 2.1 4.1 6.2 3 1.2 0.4 2.9 3.1 26.6
2 Kevin Durant 2009-10 21 82 82 3239 8.8 18.5 0.476 1.4 3.9 0.365 8.4 9.3 0.9 1.2 5.8 6.9 2.6 1.2 0.9 3 1.9 27.5























While Melo scores less on more shots, he's also a way better offensive rebounder, and frankly, there isn't enough of a differentiation between them to definitively declare one better than the other, at least statistically speaking.  Sure most of us (GMs and their assistants included) like Durant more than Melo, but that doesn't mean a whole lot when the tip-off whistle is blown.  I really don't buy the whole hype about how Thunder, if they aren't contenders are the only ones that can take down the Lakers, sure overall they might match up okay against the defending champs, but I certainly don't think they have a significantly better shot than anyone else in the West.  Why?  Their frontcourt is pretty atrocious.  Jeff Green is not a PF and if he is, he's at best a harder-working Al Harrington.  And I would take an old Shaq and Big Z over Nenad Kristic and Serge Ibaka, I don't care if Ibaka is supposed to have a "breakout" season.  What they have to their advantage is youth and thereby health, something some of the more seasoned teams cannot boast as much of, but seriously?  If the Lakers appear to be head and shoulders above the rest of the West does that mean that Thunder are a head above the rest?  I think not:



THUNDER SPURS MAVERICKS BLAZERS NUGGETS JAZZ
PG Russell Westbrook Tony Parker Jason Kidd Andre Miller Chauncey Billups Deron Willaims
SG Thabo Sefalosha Manu Ginobili Caron Butler Brandon Roy Arron Afflalo Raja Bell
SF Kevin Durant Richard Jefferson Shawn Marion Nicolas Batum Carmelo Anthony Andrei Kirilenko
PF Jeff Green DeJuan Blair Dirk Nowitzki LaMarcus Aldridge Kenyon Martin Al Jefferson
C Nenad Kristic Tim Duncan Brendan Haywood Greg Oden Nene Hilario Mehmet Okur
Bench Eric Maynor George Hill J.J. Barea Wesley Matthews Ty Lawson Earl Watson
James Harden James Anderson Jason Terry Rudy Fernandez J.R. Smith C.J. Miles
Morris Peterson Bobby Simmons DeShawn Stevenson Dante Cunningham Gary Forbes Gordon Hayward
Nick Collison Antonio McDyess Ian Mahinmi Marcus Camby Al Harrington Paul Millsap
Serge Ibaka Tiago Splitter Tyson Chandler Joel Przybilla Chris Andersen Francisco Elson
Cole Aldrich Matt Bonner Rodrigue Beaubois Armon Johnson Renaldo Balkman Kyrylo Fesenko
D.J. White Gary Neal Dominique Jones Fabricio Oberto Shelden Williams Jeremy Evans

Maybe it's me, but while Durant would be the SF I'd want the most on my roster, I can't say that Westbrook is someone I'd pick over Kidd, Parker, Billups, and definitely not Deron Williams.  Every team except maybe the Nuggets has a more desirable PF, and every other team has actually a more desirable frontcourt pairing and a comparably deep bench.  While the Thunder may have surprised us last season with a strong performance, I can't say with confidence that they can beat any of the other five leading Western Conference teams not called the Lakers, not in a 7 game series.


Team Pts Reb Ast Stl Blk To Pf Dreb Oreb Fgm-a Pct 3gm-a Pct Ftm-a Pct Eff Deff
Utah 104.5 41.9 26.4 7.9 4.8 14.4 23.1 31.3 10.7 39.2-80.1 0.49 5.5-15.0 0.365 20.6-27.9 0.739 123 15
Orlando 101.9 42.8 19.3 6.3 5.5 13.5 20.2 33 9.8 36.1-76.9 0.469 10.2-27.3 0.374 19.5-27.1 0.72 113.8 14.2
Boston 98 38.7 23 8.4 4.8 13.9 22.7 30 8.8 36.4-76.5 0.476 6.0-17.1 0.351 19.1-25.6 0.748 112.6 11.9
Dallas 101.4 41.8 23.1 7.5 5.4 12.4 19.3 31.6 10.3 38.0-82.2 0.462 6.8-18.3 0.369 18.6-22.8 0.814 118.4 10
Oklahoma City 101 43.5 19.7 7.7 5.9 14 21.4 31.8 11.7 36.9-80.7 0.457 5.1-15.2 0.337 22.0-27.3 0.807 114.7 9.6
San Antonio 100.8 42.6 22 6.2 4.6 12.9 20.4 31.8 10.7 38.2-80.9 0.472 6.5-18.4 0.356 17.9-24.3 0.735 114.1 8.9
L.A.Lakers 101.6 44 20.8 7 5.1 12.8 20.2 31.9 12.1 38.1-83.2 0.458 6.6-19.4 0.338 18.8-24.6 0.763 114.8 7.9
Portland 97.8 40 20.4 6.3 4.3 11.5 21.1 28.9 11.1 36.0-78.6 0.459 6.0-16.9 0.356 19.7-25.0 0.786 109.4 6.5
Denver 106.6 41.3 20.8 8.1 5.1 13.5 23.1 30.4 10.8 38.0-81.2 0.468 6.6-18.5 0.359 23.9-31.0 0.772 118.2 5

Based on their overall team metrics, while I'm surprised they out-rebounded everybody, I can't really say they particularly stand out enough to warrant the sudden hype.  Frankly, I don't find them to be significantly better than any playoff/fringe playoff team save for the presence of Durant.



THUNDER ROCKETS HAWKS
PG Russell Westbrook Aaron Brooks Mike Bibby
SG Thabo Sefalosha Kevin Martin Joe Johnson
SF Kevin Durant Shane Battier Marvin Williams
PF Jeff Green Luis Scola Josh Smith
C Nenad Kristic Yao Ming Al Horford
Bench Eric Maynor Kyle Lowry Jeff Teague
James Harden Courtney Lee Jamal Crawford
Morris Peterson Chase Budinger Mo Evans
Nick Collison Chuck Hayes Etan Thomas
Serge Ibaka Brad Miller Zaza Pachulia
Cole Aldrich Jordan Hill Jordan Crawford
D.J. White Jermaine Taylor Pape Sy

Sure, it's a great Cinderella story, but hey so were the Hornets in 2008, and look at them now.  Granted, the Thunder are in better shape than the Hornets, but really?  Contenders?  Really?  Seriously people, I know they're a fun team to watch, but let's be realistic.  I mean, a lot of this is coming from the same people who said Zach Randolph and Eddy Curry would make a monstrous frontcourt.

Friday, October 22, 2010

The Massive Melo Speculation Post: Part 3

Okay, so this isn't dead.  I stopped posting when I thought Melo was for sure going to New Jersey, but he's not, or not yet.  We'll see.  Meanwhile, onwards to my pointless (but fun) trade mongering...

Golden State Warriors send Monta Ellis, Andris Biedrins, with the expiring contracts of Vladamir Radmonovic and Dan Gadzuric to Denver for Melo and K-Mart

Okay, so I don't know that Denver wants to save money more than it wants a different super star, I'm also fairly confident that they probably won't consider Monta Ellis that super star.  Another option would've been swapping Vlad Rad and Gadzuric for Brandon Wright and K-Mart for J.R. Smith otherwise waiting until December and using Dorrell Wright.  Either way, it's an interesting concept, but frankly it does leave the Ws a little thin in the frontcourt, forced to once again play David Lee as a center (which he really isn't).  With Louis Amundson injured and missing time, I'm not positive that GSW is willing to pull the trigger in parting with one of its key bigs (Biedrins) even if it means getting a star in return, and frankly, I don't see Melo signing an extension with GSW so they'd be essentially giving away Monta and Biedrins for nothing.  A lot of fans would love to see this though.

New York seems to think it can trade Danilo Gallinari and/or Anthony Randolph for a star of tradeable caliber to Denver.  I'm not entirely convinced that's the case, but speculation puts me with either a Gilbert Arenas trade or a recreation of the 2004 Detroit Pistons.  I'm pretty sure neither Gilbert nor Rip Hamilton are answers.  Additionally, I don't think Gallinari and/or Randolph are super appealing to the Wiz who have Blatche, Thornton, Yi, and Howard nor the Pistons who are sitting on T-Mac, Jerebko, Austin Daye, Jason Maxiell, and Charlie Villanueva.  Not a fan of either, but I'm just throwing it out there for thought.

Now I don't know that they're looking, but a trade that makes sense to me is this:


Charlotte Bobcats send Boris Diaw, Gerald Wallace, and Nazr Mohammed to Denver for Melo and J.R. Smith

Why? Bobcats need a scorer and Melo can score (so can J.R. Smith when he's on).  This trade also makes sense too.  In fact I like it better.  Essentially Bobcats still get Melo and Denver still gets Wallace and Mohammed, but we loop in Toronto, getting Boris Diaw from Charlotte and Kenyon Martin from Denver and sending Reggie Evans to Denver and Jose Calderon with Chris Bosh's trade exception to Charlotte.  Why does this work?  Jerry Colangelo loves those saavy European vets like Boris Diaw and Leandro Barbosa, they had originally wanted essentially Diaw for Calderon, but were balked by Jordan for wanting Tyson Chandler too (who he later gave away for Erick Dampier who he waived so nothing?), and Calderon is precisely the type of point guard that works well with Larry Brown (runs sets, doesn't push the game, takes carefully selected shots) and therefore precisely the kind of PG that the Bobcats want.  The main question is whether or not Gerald Wallace is a sufficient star in what Denver wants in return.  Certainly Wallace has shown his prowess on the defensive end, and adding eligible big men in Mohammed and Evans while jettisoning K-Mart's contract is on the agenda, will adding Wallace keep the Nuggets competitive?  I'd like to say yes, via also more opportunities for Nene, but I honestly can't say I know their games well enough to say for sure.

I'll keep thinking of these and we'll keep going until Melo is actually traded.

Tuesday, October 19, 2010

Revisiting Shoe Endorsements

Nike obviously has the most endorsements in the NBA in terms of shoe contracts.  As with all my pointless speculations and hypotheticals, we are coming back to the question of whether or not Nike does in fact have the "best" endorsements.  I know that Jordans technically are Nike sneakers, but I'm counting them as a different brand.  Reebok honestly is so hurting I'm tempted to add "other" to them, nonetheless.  Let's assume it's playoffs and teams are running a typical 10 man rotation.  Have at!


Starters: Nike Jordan Adidas Reebok Other
PG Deron Williams Chris Paul Derrick Rose Jameer Nelson Jason Kidd - Peak Shoes
SG Kobe Bryant Dwayne Wade Chauncey Billups Jason Terry Stephen Jackson - Protégé
SF LeBron James Gerald Wallace Josh Smith Rasual Butler Ron Artest - Peak Shoes
PF Amar'e Stoudemire Carmelo Anthony Tim Duncan Danilo Gallinari Kevin Garnett - ANTA Sports Products
C Pau Gasol Juwan Howard Dwight Howard Yao Ming Shaquille O'Neal - Li-Ning
Bench Rajon Rondo
Brandon Roy
Andre Iguodala
Dirk Nowitzki
Chris Bosh
Joe Johnson
Ray Allen
Richard Hamilton
Kevin Martin
Jared Jeffries
Devin Harris
John Salmons
Hedo Turkoglu
Nene Hilario
Brook Lopez
John Wall
Eddie House
Jamal Crawford
Morris Peterson
Jason Smith
Baron Davis - Li-Ning
Monta Ellis - And 1
Shane Battier - Peak Shoes
Al Harrington - Protégé
Ben Wallace - Starbury

Team Nike
Strength: Depth, versatility, scoring
Weakness: Chemistry, no true center

I don't see how Nike can't be the favorites to take this one.  I mean, Nike could probably field like 5 other fairly legit teams, I mean, seriously, I'm cutting the likes of Steve Nash, Tony Parker, Manu Ginobili, and Rudy Gay from this roster.  Seriously.  The only flaw I see in this team is possibly how everyone except for Pau Gasol kind of need the ball in his hands to be effective.  It would be interesting to see how Roy and Bryant come off of catch-and-shoot situations.  The fact that they don't really have a low-post presence also kind of bothers me, but not immensely as Amar'e and Gasol are both fairly versatile in the paint, tack on the unique skillsets of Bosh and Dirk and suddenly we have here a very unorthodox and potent froncourt.  However, the defensive tenacity of said frontcourt does come into question.  You'd need a coach who is able to handle all the personalities.
Recommended Coach: Phil Jackson


Team Jordan
Strength: Shooting, mismatches
Weakness: Lack of size

Jordan seems only to really endorse wing players, maybe it's because Jordan himself was a wing player.  With the likes of Ray Allen, Richard Hamilton, Joe Johnson, and Kevin Martin though, the lights will get shot out.  The amount of perimeter defense that the opposition would have to deal with frankly ends up being is frankly quite ridiculous.  The issue though is the fact that the team is extraordinarily small and thin up front.  Juwan Howard and Jared Jeffries are by no means going to be any menace in the post, this forces Melo and Wallace to log a number of minutes as a big forward, so while the shooting is there, there might just not be enough easy baskets to make this team entirely viable.  That being said, Wallace is a fairly underrated rebounder, so these guys could do a lot better than I can imagine right now.
Recommended Coach: Mike D'Antoni



Team Adidas
Strength: Size, interior defense
Weakness: Perimeter shooting, defense

With his improved mid-range shot, I think Dwight Howard and Tim Duncan would be the second coming of the Twin Towers.  While I don't necessarily think that Howard is as versatile as David Robinson was, I think that he can make up for it.  Add in the fact that both are ridiculous interior defenders, then I think it works itself out.  I'm not confident in anybody's outside shot other than Billups's and possibly John Salmons's, so it's hard to see there not being a potential bottleneck in the paint.  However, I can see a smart system working that out.  This team is tremendously balanced and deceptively deep.  While Billups may not be an ideal off-guard, they tried it in FIBA this year and it seemed to work.  Additionally, knowing the likes of Howard and Duncan are in the paint may help bolster everyone's confidence defending perimeters knowing that Howard and Duncan (and even Smith) can help cover up a lot of defensive miscues.
Recommended Coach: Gregg Popovich


Team Reebok
Strength: Shooting
Weakness: Depth, lack of size

This really needs to be one of those "whole is greater than the sum of the parts" kind of teams.  There's no one on this team that really makes this team stand out in any way besides a healthy Yao Ming.  However, with that, this team could start to catch people off guard with smart shot selections and effective screen-and-roll plays they could really keep themselves in the game.  While I don't savor a Jameer Nelson/Jason Terry backcourt, especially on the defensive end, it could be worse.  How effectively this team manages the intangibles and plays together will determine its success or failure.
Recommended Coach: Rick Adelman

Team Other
Strength: Defensive tenacity
Weakness: Scoring

Between Stephen Jackson, Ron Artest, Shane Battier, and Ben Wallace, this hodgepodge of non-mainstream company endorsed players have most of their defensive bases covered.  However, that being said, it's more of a question of who can put the ball in the bucket.  Monta Ellis is probably the one player that can be relied on to most consistently put the ball in the bucket, but I don't see him being the Allen Iverson type scorer that such a team would need to carry the load.  Of course, this could be a very even-keeled well-distributed scoring balance between everybody.  That would work too.
Recommended Coach: Larry Brown

That's my take.  What's yours?

Thursday, August 19, 2010

Revisiting NBA Jam: The Eastern Conference

Apparently they're making this again. I did this already before, but not for a couple of years, let's do this again...

If I recall correctly you have three players per team of which you have to choose a two player combination, on the list I will list the defaults then add the third player. 

EASTERN CONFERENCE:

Atlanta Hawks:
Default: Joe Johnson, Josh Smith
Res: Al Horford
This isn't going to change unless the Hawks decide to trade Josh Smith or something.  As bad as the Joe Johnson contract is, NBA Jam is hardly a game that looks at the long-term prospects of players.  This would probably be one of my personal favorite teams to play with, I'd love bombing those alley-oops all day, with the crazy 3/4 shots from Johnson.  Horford is probably going to be the third player that no one ever uses, though maybe we could use Jamal Crawford instead.

Boston Celtics:
Default: Paul Pierce, Kevin Garnett
Res: Rajon Rondo
It's hard to leave Ray Allen off of this short list, but with the emergence of Rondo and the decline of the Big 3 it's hard to justify adding Allen at the expense of the 3rd best point guard in the league.  Pierce and Garnett still remain the face, though Rondo is slowly usurping them.  If only Garnett could still play like this in real life.  No love for the O'Neals, but that's really not surprising.

Charlotte Bobcats:
Default: Stephen Jackson, Gerald Wallace
Res: Boris Diaw
The third player here is pretty much just something of an afterthought.  You know he's there, but you only really look to see who he is, and you'll only ever play with him if you accidentally choose him to be on your team.  That being said, Jackson and Wallace would probably be something I'd enjoy playing too.  Especially since Jam players are indestructible, so if they don't give Gerald Wallace concussions in the game, I'm happy with it.

Chicago Bulls:
Default: Derrick Rose, Carlos Boozer
Res: Luol Deng
Boozer was the big free agent addition this year, so this would be interesting.  Deng is probably one of the more interesting third options, despite his injuries, the whole invincible player thing would solve that problem.  So let's not worry about it.  Though a substitution thingy would be pretty nifty, I can see it being frustrating actually having injuries.

Cleveland Cavaliers:
Default: Mo Williams, Antawn Jamison
Res: Jamario Moon
Cleveland once again becomes the team that everyone avoids like the plague, it'll be kind of sad, probably more than kind of.  Moon, the former Globetrotter makes the cut because, well, he's a former Globetrotter.

Detroit Pistons:
Default: Ben Gordon, Richard Hamilton
Res: Tayshaun Prince
There are going to be a number of these plague-like teams.  Honestly, just looking at the roster I had a hard time figuring out who I would actually enjoy playing with on this team...  As tempting as Charlie Villanueva, Chris Wilcox, and Kwame Brown would've been, I showed restraint.

Indiana Pacers:
Default: Danny Granger,Tyler Hansbrough
Res: Darren Collison
This is only marginally easier than Detroit to figure out due to the presence of Danny Granger on the roster.  I think Collison will be a big part of the Pacers offense.  Though I know that this is not an accurate portrayal of the ethnic demographic of the Pacers team, I could not in my right mind bring myself to make a team of Tyler Hansbrough, Jeff Foster, and Mike Dunleavy Jr.

Miami Heat:
Default: Dwayne Wade, LeBron James
Res: Chris Bosh
Gee... that was hard.  Insert joke about Zydrunas Ilgauskas and Juwan Howard.

Milwaukee Bucks:
Default: Brandon Jennings, Andrew Bogut
Res: John Salmons
I think Michael Redd is done, and I'm sure everyone hopes that Bogut makes a full recovery.  I wonder who they'd get to call the game (it was Steve Kerr if I remember the Live series correctly, but that was 2008).  It would be sweet to hear them saying Mbah a Moute, seriously.

New Jersey Nets:
Default: Devin Harris, Brook Lopez
Res: Troy Murphy
I kind of wanted to squeeze Travis Outlaw in there somehow, but hey, this is good.  Nets still seem like a sad team, but there are other teams that seem sadder.  Still, I suppose you can't get much worse than 18 wins.  Good thing this isn't real life.

New York Knicks:
Default: Amar'e Stoudemire, Anthony Randolph
Res: Danilo Gallinari
I hope the Knicks keep Randolph, and I hope he develops into a great player, he's got the potential.  I kind of feel bad for Wilson Chandler with the addition of Kelenna Azubuike and D'Antoni's propensity to move forward with Gallinari.  I think these are the only three players that are going to be here for the long haul.  Maybe this is the only opportunity for Eddy Curry to get some playing time.


Orlando Magic:
Default: Dwight Howard, Vince Carter
Res: Jameer Nelson
This is one way I can continue to convince myself that Vince Carter has still got game.  Hard leaving Rashard Lewis off, but he's fallen off so much, it's hard to justify putting him on.  Besides, who doesn't want to see Jameer Nelson dunk on and swat 7-footers?

Philadelphia 76ers:
Default: Andre Iguodala, Elton Brand
Res: Louis Williams
This was the first team I was tempted to put a rookie on, but Evan Turner was so disappointing in Summer League that Sixer fans would probably get angry at how good he is in the game.  I really can't figure out who is actually any good on this team, but that has never made a difference.

Toronto Raptors:
Default: Andrea Bargnani, Leandro Barbosa
Res: Jose Calderon
Until Calderon gets traded, we'll stick with this.  When Andrea Bargnani is your primary scoring option, your team is screwed.  If you beat someone else with this team though, you got bragging rights.  Can't you imagine running around screaming: "YOU JUST GOT POSTERIZED BY ANDREA BARGNANI!  YOU GOT DUNKED ON BY A GUY NAMED ANDREA!!!"

Washington Wizards:
Default: John Wall, Gilbert Arenas
Res: JaVale McGee
Eh... this was a pretty hard one too, throwing Yi Jianlian out was hard.  Oh well.  Wall is supposed to be good, so he goes in here.  Arenas... sure.  McGee... well... he almost made Team USA? or did he? What? Anyways, Epic Vale sure.