Tuesday, December 16, 2008

An Interesting Fantasy Tactic: Pick Against the Warriors

I don't mean to write a lot about the Warriors, but a friend of mine introduced me to this interesting tactic when playing fantasy basketball: pick up anybody over 6-9 playing against the Warriors, the Ws will make them look like All-Stars, in essence though, it's pretty much anyone that plays the PF/C position.  I saw the line for Marc Gasol's 20 point, 16 rebound game in November, but really?  Anybody?  Well, let's go back about 10 games and see...

v Orlando Magic
Marcin Gortat: 16 points, 13 rebounds (7 offensive), 1 assist, 3 blocks on 7-13 shooting in 27:36 minutes

@ Denver Nuggets
Kenyon Martin: 15 points, 6 rebounds, 4 assists, 1 steal, 1 block on 6-9 shooting in 24:36 minutes
Renaldo Balkman: 12 points, 6 reobounds, 1 assist, 1 steal, 3 blocks on 6-8 shooting in 16:43 minutes

v Houston Rockets
Luis Scola: 19 points, 7 rebounds, 1 assist, 1 block on 7-12 shooting in 24:19 minutes
Carl Landry: 18 points, 6 rebounds, 1 steal on 7-10 shooting in 23:14 minutes

v Milwaukee Bucks
Charlie Villanueva: 9 points, 11 rebounds, 1 assist, 4 blocks on 3-11 shooting in 29:52 minutes

@ Oklahoma City Thunder
Nick Collison: 15 points, 10 rebounds, 2 assists, 1 steal, 2 blocks on 6-10 shooting in 23:05 minutes

@ San Antonio Spurs
Matt Bonner: 14 points, 6 rebounds, 1 assist, 1 steal on 6-9 shooting in 19:23 minutes
Fabricio Oberto: 12 points, 6 rebounds, 2 assists on 3-5 shooting in 23:56 minutes

@ Houston Rockets
Luis Scola: 8 points, 10 rebounds, 1 steal, 1 block on 4-8 shooting in 23:43 minutes

v Miami Heat
Udonis Haslem: 21 points, 13 rebounds, 2 assists, 2 blocks on 8-11 shooting in 41:40 minutes
Michael Beasley: 19 points, 6 rebounds, 1 steal, 1 block on 7-15 shooting in 24:27 minutes

@ New York Knicks
David Lee: 37 points, 21 rebounds, 2 assists, 3 steals, 1 block on 16-29 shooting in 38:31 minutes
Al Harrington: 36 points, 12 rebounds, 1 assist, 1 steal on 13-25 shooting in 39:43 minutes

@ Cleveland Cavaliers
Zydrunas Ilgauskas: 21 points, 3 rebounds, 1 steal on 9-13 shooting in 19:25 minutes

Now these are just the big men you don't really always expect to produce a lot, I'm not counting the 33pt, 14 rbd game Yao had, or the 20pt, 13 rbds Tim Duncan had in slightly over 20 minutes of play, nor the 41 pt, 10 rbds monster game Kevin Durant had.  

I don't know what it is, but GSW really makes power forwards and centers look like efficiency monsters.  Seriously, only 3 players on the list played over 30 minutes (Haslem, Lee, Harrington) but their stats reflect it too.  Combined, the three had 94 points, 46 rebounds, 5 assists, 4 steals, 3 blocks on 37-65 (56%) shooting.  So arguably, a run of the mill PF or C, of a starting caliber, should average about 30 points, 15 rebounds, 1-2 assists, 1 steal, and 1 block on about 55-60% shooting in about 36 minutes of play.  I'm not a Warriors hatere, but the strategy seems to work.