Wednesday, October 28, 2009

The 5 Most Confusing Front Offices

Since the season has started, I'm going to do this quick piece on pretty much my overall offseason grades for various front offices. I'm a critical guy, so I'll just go with the five worst. I mean, these confused the heck out of me. These aren't in any particular order, just the order that I come up with in my brain.

1.) Minnesota Timberwolves

To say that this team boggles me is something of an understatement. The first move made was essentially trading Mike Miller and Randy Foye for Ricky Rubio, who, mind you, probably isn't even going to play this season. Even if he did, I don't see him being very spectacular, he's like... Steve Nash without a jumpshot. That was something understandable, as Foye was obviously not a point guard and Sebastian Telfair in a starting gig is just hurting. Great, so T'Wolves go and land one of the premier points in the draft, and then subsequently draft the next premier point in the draft in Johnny Flynn. Either Flynn is expensive Rubio-not-coming-to-America insurance, or something's up. Obviously we were all a little shocked when Sacramento opted for Tyreke Evans over Rubio, and we knew Rubio's stock was quickly dropping and therefore he no longer was super valuable as trade bait because the first 3 teams didn't need him. Then they draft Wayne Ellington, fine, project PG, probably our backup. Rebuilding looks good so far huh? Until we remember that T'Wolves now have no wing players whatsoever. Rashad McCants was traded to Sac, Foye and Miller gone to Washington. So to solve their problems, the T'Wolves decide to trade Craig Smith and Sebastian Telfair, who do they get back? Jason Hart? Wait, they need another PG? I feel really bad for Al Jefferson at this point in time. Deciding to make a splash in free agency, the T'Wolves later decide to sign Ramon Sessions. We so far, have a roster of 4 PGs with one playing overseas. Please do not tell me Sessions is a combo guard. The wings currently are Ryan Gomes and Corey Brewer with no SG to speak of. Somehow then, they manage to pick up Sasha Pavlovic and Damien Wilkins, serviceable but nothing stellar. Essentially, I think they're eventually hoping for either Sessions or Flynn to really make a huge impact and become studs, I mean, if we take everything else away, T'Wolves essentially gave up Foye, Miller, Smith, and Telfair for Sessions, Wilkins, Pavlovic, and I suppose ultimately Flynn. Unless this Rubio gamble pays off and he manages to somehow play with two other starting caliber point guards, or gets traded for some stud on the wings, the PG love from the T'Wolves was confusing as heck, and honestly, doesn't make them better. It overaddresses one need, and doesn't address any others.

2.) Memphis Grizzlies

I'm starting to take this team as seriously as the Harlem Globetrotters. Okay, so first, they trade Darko for Quentin Richardson, understandable, sort of... Then they draft Hasheem Thabeet, which confused me to no end, but I guess that means Marc Gasol isn't good enough? That boggles my mind. The 2nd overall pick isn't something you spend on a simple defensive stopper, 7-feet or nothing, they have Gasol, so I'm not sure how that's going to work. Then they trade Q-Rich for Z-Bo (Zach Randolph). Great... While it solves the problem of interior scoring, the last thing the Grizzlies need is a ballhogging black hole (like OJ Mayo and Rudy Gay). There isn't a single player on the roster at the moment that can be effective not putting the ball in the bucket, and not a single player on the roster who can be effective without the ball in his hands. Then to top it all off the Grizzlies opt to sign the one player that needs the ball in his hands the most, Allen Iverson. I'm sorry, but all the carts from the 3pt shootout won't be enough balls to go around for this team. If you thought AI and Melo on Denver had sticky hands, what about a floor spread of Iverson, Mayo, Gay, and Randolph? Geez. Sure it's an offensive powerhouse, but that's what Eddy Curry and Zach Randolph were supposed to be three years ago, and we all saw how that turned out.

3.) Atlanta Hawks

I understand why the Warriors traded Jamal Crawford, they just wanted to get rid of him, it's kind of a Nellie thing. What I don't understand is why ultimately the Hawks traded for him. It's not that I don't like Crawford, but it's just that he doesn't really fit. The trade ultimately ended up being Speedy Claxton and Acie Law for Jamal Crawford. Claxton and Law probably will see little to no playing time in Nellie-ball, but Crawford apparently is supposed to fill the void of 6th man on the Hawks. While the idea of the shooting from a Jamal Crawford/Joe Johnson backcourt is intriguing, it's fairly redundant. From my perspective, Jamal Crawford is essentially a highly inefficient Joe Johnson, who in and of himself is already pretty inefficient. What this does mean though, is that perhaps the Hawks haven't yet given up on Josh Smith. While this provides a means of flexibility, possibly moving Joe Johnson on occasion to SF, having a backcourt of Bibby, Crawford, Johnson, the concept of Jamal Crawford being a Flip Murray upgrade is a little confusing to me. Why? Simply put, Murray knows his spot, Crawford needs the ball a lot to be effective. If Joe Johnson still gets his touches, Crawford's game is going to have to come at the expense of Williams, Smith, and Horford. I'm not entirely ecstatic about such a prospect. Of course, the Hawks could prove me wrong by having Crawford simply prove me wrong about him, or turn their forwards (Williams, Smith, Horford) into some monstrous offensive rebounding team.

4.) Charlotte Bobcats

I'm sorry, if this team wants me to start taking them seriously (and I bet they could care less if I'm taking them seriously) they have to start considering the implications of their moves. A year after Larry Brown takes over, the Bobcats opted to swap their center Emeka Okafor, for Tyson Chandler. On paper it looks like a wash, Okafor is slightly better offensively and Chandler is a legit 7-footer with stellar defense. What's the problem then? First, on a team that struggles with its offense, replacing an offensive cog with a defensive piece doesn't really make sense. While Chandler is active, a lot of his production came from playing with Chris Paul, production that neither Raymond Felton nor DJ Augustin can help replicate. While I respect the players, Larry Brown essentially has his three primary scoring options shifted to Gerald Wallace, Boris Diaw, and Raja Bell, not exactly what I'd call explosive. Of course, Larry Brown's recent success has shown that perhaps you don't need a scorer, as seen with the 2004 Detroit Squad. Yet something tells me that Chauncey Billups, Richard Hamilton, and Rasheed Wallace are greater than Wallace, Diaw, and Bell, especially if you consider the support cast of Tayshaun Prince, Ben Wallace, and Antonio McDyess as compared to Raymond Felton, Tyson Chandler, and DJ Augustin. I don't get it. I really don't. Maybe someone can clue me in.

5.) Milwaukee Bucks

The traded Richard Jefferson for essentially Kurt Thomas (they cut Bowen and Oberto), and then traded for Amir Johnson and then traded Amir Johnson again. Then signed Hakim Warrick and drafted Brandon Jennings. Though it's technically not this offseason, I'm still reeling from the whole extension of the Andrew Bogut. I mean I know he was first overall pick, but really? Is he that good? I know you overpay big men, but the same price tag as Deron Williams and Chris Paul? I'm still not convinced he's anything more than a younger Chris Kaman. With the retention of Kurt Thomas and the signing of Kurt Thomas I'm not entirely convinced that the Bucks are rebuilding, but then again, maybe they are with a core of Brandon Jennings, Luc-Richard Mbah-a-Moute, and Joe Alexander. Of course, that makes me feel bad for Michael Redd. I really don't know. It's like they want to try to covertly go young, so they move towards Mbah-a-Moute and Jennings, but not so you know, so they go keep Ridnour and Redd... Yeah, if that's as confusing to read as it was to write, I think I've done my job.

Tuesday, October 13, 2009

No more Captain Jack

Stephen Jackson want out of Golden State and will cause havoc unil he is able to be traded. He would of had a lot of trade value if he didn't sign a 3 year, $28 million dollar contract extension last year which leav 4 years and $35 million dollars left on his contract. No team would take on that contract, especially for a 31 year old with a somewhat troubled past and very prone to technical fouls.

In an exhibition gme against the Lakers, Jackson picked up 5 fouls in less than 10 minutes along with a technical. I know these replacement referees are pretty bad, but those 5 fouls didn't come from his aggressive defense on Kobe, but him wanting out of Golden State and causing any kind of trouble he can. He and coach Don Nelson aren't getting along anymore as Nellie suspended Jackson for 2 exhibition games and more will likely to come if Jackson doesn't get traded and continues to plague the Warriors. If the Warriors really want to make it tough on Jackson, they should suspend him for many games in which he will not get paid.

But maybe there is a small chance that somehow Jackson wants to play well along with Monta, Curry, Randolph and Biedrins and start winning games, all this this will easily be forgotten. Winning always cures everything. Will Warriors fans ever get a chance to see winning basketball in the Bay Area anytime soon?

Wednesday, August 26, 2009

Sucks for Sessions, Sucks for the Knicks

I'm not really sure what the New York Knicks are going for here. Do they really want to win? I grew up in upstate New York so I'm something of a closet Knicks fan, there's still a little hometown loyalty left in me, but because I started following basketball seriously during the end of the Isaiah Thomas-running-the-show era it was something of a fairly difficult pill to swallow. Since then, Donnie Walsh has successfully removed most everyone Isaiah Thomas had brought in (see: Jamal Crawford, Quentin Richardson, Stephon Marbury, Jerome James, Renaldo Balkman, Zach Randolph, Malik Rose, and Isaiah Thomas) with few exceptions (see: Wilson Chandler, Eddy Curry, and Jarred Jeffries) with a couple of the fan favorites in limbo (see: Nate Robinson and David Lee). From how I see it right now, the only guaranteed contracts come 2010 are Danilo Gallinari, Eddy Curry, and Jared Jeffries, the latter two of which Walsh is working furiously to get off the books. While Walsh has made strides to rectify the debacle that Dolan and Thomas had brought upon themselves and the once respectable Knicks organization, he's done little else to make the team better, to make the team something to believe in, heck, even something that makes the playoffs in a mediocre (but improving) Eastern Conference. While I understand the concept of saving for a big name star in 2010 (one that might not even show up), does surrounding said star (see: LeBron James, Dwayne Wade, Chris Bosh, Amar'e Stoudemire) with a slapdash collection of random talent really help? I mean, I like Wilson Chandler, and Danilo Gallinaro is supposed to be a stud, but are we really going to try to play them at the SG and PF spots respectively if the Knicks do land LeBron? Is that enough?

The big free agent name of the 2009 offseason for the Knicks has been Ramon Sessions, and if the reports are to be trusted, then Sessions will not be signing with the Knicks, ouch. I can't say I know enough about Sessions save except some numbers to say that I have a fair grasp of what Sessions can do. I mean, I know that he dropped 20 assists in a meaningless game at the end of another losing Bucks season in 2007. I know that Scott Skiles ended up playing him next to Ridnour as an off guard and his production suffered. I know that he's still young, and has tons of potential and everybody likes him, and I know that he's no longer welcome in Milwaukee, and the only other team courting him, the Clippers, would make him the backup failsafe plan of a questionably motivated Baron Davis. I also know that he has holes in his game, he can't hit an outside shot to save his life, but you know what? Neither can Rajon Rondo, nor Andre Miller, Tony Parker had a questionable jumper until recently, Jason Kidd's jumper's not exactly stellar either. My point is simple, certainly Ramon Sessions is by no means a finished product, I mean, he's only 24, he's not been in the league that long, so he has room to grow, but I think that Sessions is exactly the kind of player that the Knicks needs, and the Knicks are exactly the kind of team that Sessions needs.

Sessions is a young explosive player who has the potential to be an exciting draw for Knicks fans and basketball fans for Donnie Walsh. Paired with the freedom that Mike D'Antoni gives to PGs in his 7-second-or-less offense, Sessions has the potential to really grow into his own. I mean, just look at what D'Antoni was able to do with Chris Duhon, a prototypical NBA backup point guard. Just look at Leandro Barbosa and Steve Nash with and without D'Antoni's offense. Yet Donnie Walsh seems allergic to Sessions based entirely on the fact that he wants years, and Jared Jeffries and Eddy Curry are still on the books. It'll be a pity if Sessions is still a free agent come trade deadline, but it'll be a steal for the Knicks if he is and they can jettison one of Curry's or Jeffries's contract if not both, though I don't know why a talent like Sessions would fall to that far. Some might find it hard to fault Walsh because of the 2010 jackpot in free agency, I mean there's LeBron, Bosh, Wade, Amar'e, Kobe, Joe Johnson, Ray Allen, Dirk Nowitzki, just to name a few. Honestly though, for those teams that haven't made it, does moving from one mediocre team to another mediocre team that pays more really make it worth it to them? If it does, does New York really want that kind of a player? It really depends on what New York wants to do, and I personally want New York to win, it's pointless if you don't play to win. New York is already still one of the most profitable franchises in the league and they're probably at best the second or third worst team in the Eastern Conference. How long will "At least we're better than the Nets and the Grizzlies" really last you? Will Dwayne Wade find the combination of Wilson Chandler and Danilo Gallinari that much better than one of Mario Chalmers and Michael Beasley? Will Chris Bosh really think that it'll be better there than with Calderon and Turkoglu? Really? If they're winners why not go play in Cleveland (taking Shaq's paycheck) with LeBron? Or maybe some Western Conference team that's more competitive? Certainly there is the implication of being a marquee player for a larger market, and while Amar'e might want to play once again with D'Antoni, his competitiveness has been questioned and he's now widely regarded as someone who can't take a team the distance.

So save for the future? What's Donnie Walsh going to do if all of the big names balk at playing at New York with a bunch of misfits? Is there anything even moderately appealing to some combination of Larry Hughes, Chris Duhon, Wilson Chandler, Danilo Gallinari, Al Harrington, Darko Milicic, Eddy Curry, Jared Jeffries, and possibly David Lee and Nate Robinson? Of which only 4 of whom will be around and only 2 of which will likely play in the 2010-2011 season if all 4 are still around. Knicks need direction, and they have none, "waiting for the 2010 free agency" isn't any more direction than "waiting for a multi-million dollar inheritance/lottery" is a career path. Sessions needs the Knicks, the Knicks need Sessions, do the right thing.

Friday, August 21, 2009

What is with the Wizards' Players? Seriously.

“I told people that it’s a unique situation. It’s one of those situations were this is where teams really have a chance to build their team, when you have injuries like that. It’s a completely different aspect of what it was in San Antonio, but it’s in the same realm of what San Antonio was when you have an injury like they did with David Robinson and they had a chance to get a pick. You have talent with this team with Antawn, Caron, Gilbert, who’s got three all-stars; to have a top-5 pick in the draft is something you don’t expect. So, when you have that kinda talent, it’s just injuries and they didn’t play together all last year, it gives us an opportunity to build something here. When you have a losing record the year before, you can have a chance to bring in different talent, and hopefully we can mesh together and make it happen.”
The above quote was given by newly acquired Washington Wizards Mike Miller. I honestly have no real idea of how he's drawing this comparison between Washington and San Antonio except maybe that their best player was injured. When Robinson got injured, San Antonio was a team featuring a 37 year-old Dominique Wilkins as its top scoring player, featuring some mix of starters among Avery Johnson, Vinny Del Negro, Will Perdue, Carl Herrera, Vernon Maxwell, Greg Anderson, and Monty Williams. Sean Elliot, the third best player on the team, only played 39 games. Despite injuries, Wizards were never without at least one, if not two of Gilbert Arenas, Caron Butler, and Antawn Jamison, the three of which probably outscored the entire 1996-1997 San Antonio team put together. Sure, because of injuries Wizards got a lottery pick (5th), which they promptly traded away for Miller and Foye. So is Miller calling himself Tim Duncan? I don't get it.

Monday, August 3, 2009

Does DeShawn Stevenson know what he's talking about?

I know players are supposed to be confident in their teams, I know they're supposed to say the right things, but making bold promises? That's pretty iffy. When you make a concrete guarantee, you're putting someone up to prove you wrong, especially if you haven't proven anything before. So, the latest of them has been from the Washington Wizards, with DeShawn Stevenson making this bold claim:

"If Gilbert is 70 percent, we're going win a lot of games. If Gilbert is 80 percent, we're going to be No. 1 in the East. If he's 100 percent, we might win a championship."
Obviously the Gilbert being referred to is none other than Wizard's captain Gilbert Arenas, aka Agent Zero. Does Stevenson's assessment of Arenas ring true? I don't know, as he's only played 15 games in the past two seasons, that's right, he's only seen floor time 15 out of the past 164 possible regular season games. While the "percent" that Agent Zero plays at may be arbitrary, Stevenson all but guarantees the Wizards to be at the top of the Eastern Conference. Is that even feasible with Gilbert at 100%? I'm dead serious, I'm sure Washington is a great team, but does having Gilbert Arenas automatically make them better than Cleveland, Boston, and Orlando? Hm.... Well, let's look at the rosters. The Washington Wizards boast a lineup likely of:

PG - Gilbert Arenas, Randy Foye, Javaris Crittenton
SG - Mike Miller, Nick Young, DeShawn Stevenson
SF - Caron Butler, Dominic McGuire
PF - Antawn Jamison, Andray Blatche
C - Brendan Haywood, JaVale McGee

Okay, that's pretty impressive, but let's look at matchups:

Cleveland Cavaliers:

PG - Mo Williams, Daniel Gibson
SG - Delonte West, Anthony Parker
SF - LeBron James, Jamario Moon, Jawad Williams
PF - Anderson Varejao, Leon Powe, JJ Hickson
C - Shaquille O'Neal, Zydrunas Ilgauskas

Boston Celtics:

PG - Rajon Rondo, Eddie House
SG - Ray Allen, Tony Allen
SF - Paul Pierce, Marquis Daniels, Bill Walker
PF - Kevin Garnett, Glen Davis, Brian Scalabrine
C - Kendrick Perkins, Rasheed Wallace

Orlando Magic:

PG - Jameer Nelson, Anthony Johnson
SG - Vince Carter, JJ Redick
SF - Mickael Pietrus, Matt Barnes
PF - Rashard Lewis, Brandon Bass, Ryan Anderson
C - Dwight Howard, Marcin Gortat

Now let's assume 2006-2007 performance would be comparable to Gilbert Arenas at 100% and do some quick comparisons:

Per 36:

Rk Player Season Age G GS MP FG FGA FG% 3P 3PA 3P% FT FTA FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
1 Gilbert Arenas 2006-07 25 74 73 2942 7.9 18.9 .418 2.5 7.1 .351 7.4 8.8 .844 0.7 3.4 4.1 5.4 1.7 0.2 2.9 3.0 25.8
2 Jameer Nelson 2008-09 26 42 42 1309 7.3 14.6 .503 2.3 5.0 .453 2.4 2.7 .887 0.6 3.4 4.0 6.2 1.4 0.1 2.3 3.4 19.3
3 Rajon Rondo 2008-09 22 80 80 2642 5.2 10.3 .505 0.2 0.7 .313 2.3 3.7 .642 1.4 4.3 5.7 9.0 2.0 0.1 2.8 2.6 13.0
4 Mo Williams 2008-09 26 81 81 2834 6.7 14.3 .467 2.3 5.3 .436 2.6 2.9 .912 0.6 2.9 3.5 4.2 0.9 0.1 2.3 2.7 18.3

Advanced:

Rk Player Season Age G MP PER TS% eFG% ORB% DRB% TRB% AST% STL% BLK% TOV% USG% ORtg DRtg OWS DWS WS
1 Gilbert Arenas 2006-07 25 74 2942 24.0 .565 .484 2.3 11.1 6.6 27.2 2.4 0.3 11.2 31.4 115 111 9.6 1.5 11.1
2 Jameer Nelson 2008-09 26 42 1309 20.6 .612 .580 1.8 10.5 6.2 32.1 2.0 0.2 12.6 23.2 121 103 3.9 2.1 6.0
3 Rajon Rondo 2008-09 22 80 2642 18.8 .543 .514 4.8 13.9 9.6 39.7 3.0 0.3 19.2 19.2 114 101 4.7 5.0 9.7
4 Mo Williams 2008-09 26 81 2834 17.2 .588 .548 2.1 9.4 5.9 20.1 1.3 0.3 12.7 23.4 115 106 5.9 3.6 9.4

Okay, well, in the PG battle, a healthy Gilbert Arenas obviously has the advantage. While Rajon Rondo and Jameer Nelson are still "breaking out" it's hard to imagine that either would mimic the production that Arenas, completely healthy would provide. However, remember, basketball is a team sport, certainly the Wizards would have the advantage if all other positions were a wash. While Williams of the four is the weakest PG performance wise, we also have to remember the roles each has on the team, Rondo and Williams have more facilitator roles whereas Arenas is the go-to guy. Nelson is a little harder to place as he's somewhere between the two.

Let's move on to the off-guard position:

Per 36:

Rk Player Season Age G GS MP FG FGA FG% 3P 3PA 3P% FT FTA FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
1 Ray Allen 2008-09 33 79 79 2876 6.2 13.0 .480 2.5 6.1 .409 3.0 3.1 .952 0.8 2.7 3.5 2.7 0.9 0.2 1.7 2.0 17.9
2 Vince Carter 2008-09 32 80 80 2946 7.2 16.4 .437 1.8 4.8 .385 4.1 5.0 .817 0.9 4.1 5.0 4.6 1.0 0.5 2.0 2.9 20.3
3 Mike Miller 2008-09 28 73 47 2356 4.0 8.4 .482 1.3 3.4 .378 1.7 2.3 .732 1.1 6.3 7.4 5.0 0.5 0.5 2.2 2.1 11.0
4 Delonte West 2008-09 25 64 64 2152 4.8 10.4 .457 1.5 3.8 .399 1.5 1.8 .833 0.5 2.9 3.4 3.8 1.6 0.2 1.5 2.1 12.6

Advanced:

Rk Player Season Age G MP PER TS% eFG% ORB% DRB% TRB% AST% STL% BLK% TOV% USG% ORtg DRtg OWS DWS WS
1 Ray Allen 2008-09 33 79 2876 17.3 .624 .575 2.9 8.6 5.9 12.6 1.3 0.4 10.4 20.8 122 106 7.3 3.6 11.0
2 Vince Carter 2008-09 32 80 2946 19.3 .545 .493 3.0 13.8 8.3 23.7 1.5 1.1 9.8 26.8 112 112 5.6 1.8 7.4
3 Mike Miller 2008-09 28 73 2356 13.8 .588 .559 3.5 21.2 12.0 21.6 0.7 1.0 19.1 14.5 112 112 2.8 1.4 4.2
4 Delonte West 2008-09 25 64 2152 14.1 .559 .530 1.8 9.2 5.6 16.6 2.4 0.5 12.0 16.7 114 104 2.9 3.3 6.2

I understand that Mike Miller had his confidence shot last season and was plagued throughout the year by injuries, but even if we took the year before when he was healthy and playing well, the advantage still goes to Orlando in this matchup. Delonte West of course is the defensive presence on the Cavs so obviously he's fairly far down in the pecking order, but he does make a difference. Carter has been playing well despite all the nay-sayers and his age, as has Ray Allen, though Allen has been somewhat less consistent since joining the Celtics, but he is also the third option behind both Pierce and Garnett, so he's not getting a huge number of touches. While Miller adds a lot in other aspects other than scoring, he's also known for not being very good defensively. Definitely not making the difference for me here.

Onwards to the SF position:

Per 36:

Rk Player Season Age G GS MP FG FGA FG% 3P 3PA 3P% FT FTA FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
1 Caron Butler 2008-09 28 67 67 2585 6.8 15.1 .453 0.9 2.9 .310 4.8 5.6 .858 1.6 4.1 5.8 4.0 1.5 0.3 2.9 2.3 19.4
2 LeBron James 2008-09 24 81 81 3054 9.3 19.0 .489 1.6 4.5 .344 7.0 9.0 .780 1.2 6.0 7.2 6.9 1.6 1.1 2.8 1.6 27.2
3 Paul Pierce 2008-09 31 81 81 3035 6.4 14.0 .457 1.4 3.6 .391 5.4 6.6 .830 0.7 4.8 5.4 3.5 0.9 0.3 2.7 2.5 19.7
4 Mickael Pietrus 2008-09 26 54 25 1329 4.8 11.5 .413 2.2 6.0 .359 2.1 3.0 .709 1.2 3.6 4.8 1.8 0.8 0.7 1.5 3.4 13.8

Advanced:

Rk Player Season Age G MP PER TS% eFG% ORB% DRB% TRB% AST% STL% BLK% TOV% USG% ORtg DRtg OWS DWS WS
1 Caron Butler 2008-09 28 67 2585 18.8 .552 .482 5.2 13.8 9.4 19.7 2.2 0.6 14.3 25.9 108 113 3.4 1.1 4.4
2 LeBron James 2008-09 24 81 3054 31.7 .591 .530 4.3 19.0 11.9 38.0 2.4 2.4 11.0 33.8 122 99 13.3 6.3 19.6
3 Paul Pierce 2008-09 31 81 3035 17.7 .582 .508 2.4 15.4 9.2 16.3 1.4 0.7 13.8 25.4 112 104 5.4 4.8 10.2
4 Mickael Pietrus 2008-09 26 54 1329 11.6 .538 .507 3.8 10.9 7.5 8.0 1.2 1.3 10.6 18.4 106 104 1.0 2.1 3.0

All of the starting forwards here save Pietrus are All-Stars. However, it's hard to dispute that LeBron would be in the best shape here, simply because he's LeBron. It's hard to argue against one of the best players in the league despite how good both Butler and Pierce are. Advantage here always goes to the Cavs so long as LeBron is healthy and playing.

At the PF slot:

Per 36:

Rk Player Season Age G GS MP FG FGA FG% 3P 3PA 3P% FT FTA FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
1 Kevin Garnett 2008-09 32 57 57 1772 8.0 15.0 .531 0.0 0.2 .250 2.3 2.7 .841 1.6 8.3 9.9 2.9 1.3 1.4 1.8 2.6 18.3
2 Antawn Jamison 2008-09 32 81 81 3096 7.8 16.8 .468 1.3 3.7 .351 4.0 5.3 .754 2.3 6.1 8.4 1.8 1.1 0.3 1.5 2.5 20.9
3 Rashard Lewis 2008-09 29 79 79 2859 6.0 13.7 .439 2.8 7.0 .397 2.8 3.4 .836 1.2 4.5 5.7 2.6 1.0 0.6 2.0 2.4 17.6
4 Anderson Varejao 2008-09 26 81 42 2306 4.2 7.9 .536 0.0 0.0 .000 2.4 3.9 .616 2.6 6.5 9.1 1.3 1.2 1.0 1.2 3.7 10.8

Rk Player Season Age G MP PER TS% eFG% ORB% DRB% TRB% AST% STL% BLK% TOV% USG% ORtg DRtg OWS DWS WS
1 Kevin Garnett 2008-09 32 57 1772 21.2 .563 .532 5.6 26.7 16.6 14.7 1.9 3.1 10.1 23.4 112 98 3.0 4.1 7.0
2 Antawn Jamison 2008-09 32 81 3096 20.6 .549 .507 7.2 20.5 13.7 9.1 1.6 0.7 7.1 25.9 114 113 6.5 1.6 8.1
3 Rashard Lewis 2008-09 29 79 2859 16.8 .580 .540 3.7 13.9 8.9 12.5 1.5 1.3 11.6 22.0 113 103 4.7 4.9 9.6
4 Anderson Varejao 2008-09 26 81 2306 14.6 .565 .536 8.9 20.6 15.0 5.4 1.8 2.3 11.5 14.2 116 100 3.2 4.5 7.7

As well as Antawn Jamison has played, you can't really match the two-way intensity that Kevin Garnett brings to the floor. While his numbers have suffered, you have to realize that he now has Paul Pierce and Ray Allen to carry much of the offensive load on the team for him, so he's not required to do as much. The impact from Garnett is made mostly on the defensive end, and I find that Jamison and Lewis are a wash. Remember that Jamison played this previous year so well partially due to Arenas being out, he's not going to get as many touches if Arenas is back.

Finally the C position:

Per 36:

Rk Player Season Age G GS MP FG FGA FG% 3P 3PA 3P% FT FTA FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS
1 Brendan Haywood 2007-08 28 80 80 2228 5.1 9.7 .528 0.0 0.0
3.5 4.8 .735 4.4 4.9 9.3 1.1 0.5 2.1 1.7 3.5 13.7
2 Dwight Howard 2008-09 23 79 79 2821 7.1 12.5 .572 0.0 0.0 .000 6.4 10.8 .594 4.3 9.7 13.9 1.4 1.0 2.9 3.1 3.4 20.7
3 Shaquille O'Neal 2008-09 36 75 75 2252 8.2 13.4 .609 0.0 0.0 .000 4.9 8.3 .595 3.0 7.1 10.1 2.0 0.8 1.7 2.7 4.0 21.3
4 Kendrick Perkins 2008-09 24 76 76 2253 4.4 7.6 .577 0.0 0.0 .000 1.5 2.6 .600 3.3 6.6 9.9 1.5 0.4 2.4 2.6 4.0 10.4


Advanced:

Rk Player Season Age G MP PER TS% eFG% ORB% DRB% TRB% AST% STL% BLK% TOV% USG% ORtg DRtg OWS DWS WS
1 Brendan Haywood 2007-08 28 80 2228 18.3 .582 .528 14.0 16.4 15.2 5.2 0.7 5.0 12.9 17.3 119 109 4.7 1.8 6.6
2 Dwight Howard 2008-09 23 79 2821 25.4 .600 .572 13.8 29.5 21.8 7.3 1.4 5.9 15.1 26.1 113 95 6.2 7.6 13.9
3 Shaquille O'Neal 2008-09 36 75 2252 22.3 .623 .609 10.1 22.3 16.4 8.9 1.1 3.5 13.6 24.2 117 109 5.9 2.3 8.2
4 Kendrick Perkins 2008-09 24 76 2253 13.2 .591 .577 11.5 21.4 16.7 6.5 0.5 5.3 23.1 14.8 105 100 1.1 4.4 5.5


It's hard to not give Dwight Howard and the Magic the advantage at this position. Even if Haywood replicates his performance from before his injury, it's not really even close, even an aging Shaq can be more effective than Haywood.

Now I can't feasibly say that the Washington bench is significantly better if better at all than those of Cleveland, Boston, or Orlando, so if we presume those and coaching a wash, the Wizards still fall behind Orlando, and I would put them behind both Cleveland and Boston as well. At best, they can hope for the playoffs at 4th seed, and therefore not have to face one of those top three in the first round.

Wednesday, July 29, 2009

Breaking Down the New Orleans and Charlotte Trade

This is a little late, and I'm not the only one that thinks this makes little to no sense whatsoever. I'm still trying to wrap my head around it, and while various pundits have tried to explain it away somehow, I still can't help but sit and consider how remarkably incapable the Bobcats' front office really is. You'd have to think money plays into this somewhere, and that while Chandler is slated to make $2 million more than Okafor over the next two years, Okafor is signed for the next three following. It's a weak, but semi-palatable argument that gives Bobcats some resemblance of credibility on this trade, more so than Larry Brown's proclaimation of playing Chandler, at least for a little bit, at power forward. I could start pulling out numbers now and talk about immediately how Emeka Okafor is at the very least, Tyson Chandler with an offensive game. So in essence the main difference in what you're paying Chandler is 3 inches of height on Okafor.

For the Hornets this makes every single bit of sense. Not only do you retain the defense that Chandler once brought to the middle in Okafor, you add a legitimate third option scorer behind Chris Paul and David West, one that isn't as injury prone as Tyson Chandler (or Peja Stojakovic). This is important because this enables Chris Paul a little more help and decreases the necessity of having to create a shot for every single other player, he can simply toss it into the post every now and again and have Okafor back his man in. While he's no Tim Duncan, Okafor is a competent back-to-the-basket player, and therefore keeps the defense honest on him. Additionally, he can run the pick-and-roll as effectively as Chandler can. Finally, depsite being undersized, Okafor plays like a true center, requiring fairly close positioning in the paint without any teammates getting in his way, with David West's bread-and-butter being the mid-range jumper, the frontcourt has good synergy and the pieces fit well next to each other.

On the other side of the trade, I'm not really sure why they pulled this. Some argue that Okafor is too much of a center and the Bobcats haven't been able to put legitmate PFs next to him, ones that can shoot, which leads me to wonder, isn't Boris Diaw the Bobcats' starting PF? Doesn't he shoot pretty darn well? I mean, I'm pretty sure you'd have to, to be a starter in D'Antoni's 7-seconds-or-less offense. The only feasible reason would be that Larry Brown wants to run the offense less through the middle, meaning more touches and shots for who? Oh, yes, the offensive powerhouse of a trio in Gerald Wallace, Raja Bell, and Boris Diaw? Maybe Raymond Felton and DJ Augustin? Vladamir Radmanovic? Um.... Yeah, I don't get it either. As Brown mentioned in his interview, he might play Chandler sometime at PF making the other center either Nazr Mohammed or DeSagana Diop. Now, Mohammed has some scoring ability, but with a front court of Diop and Chandler? I was just watching the 1999 NBA finals on DVD, and Doug Collins consistently mentions how Jeff Van Gundy was loathe to play Chris Dudley simply because while defensively competent, he can't score, and therefore stressing the importance of buckets. Not to say that Chandler and Diop can't put the ball in the bucket when left alone, but they are by no means defensive stalwarts, and neither DJ Augustin nor Raymond Felton are extraordinarily adept at creating shots for others. I understand that defense is important, but a team full of defensive specialists that aren't exactly known to be able to score? Uh... did I miss a memo here? Sure it's nice to hold the opposition to 85 points, but it doesn't help if you can't even score 80.

Tuesday, July 28, 2009

Swapping Centers

In the event you haven't heard yet, Charlotte and New Orleans are reaching agreements to trade Emeka Okafor and Tyson Chandler. It's an interesting swap, and you usually don't see straight up position for position swaps unless there's a particular motive, usually in terms of money or personnel fit. When we look at both players though, it's not as though either one is a lockerroom issue, from what I hear both are nice guys that fit well on both teams, both bring generally the same things to the floor, those being rebounding, solid interior defense, and a shot blocking presence. The swap to me from a basketball perspective ends up as something of a wash, however, maybe it makes a little more sense from a financial perspective, Bobcats save money in the long run and Hornets get a more offensively potent center and save a little bit of money now. Dunno how it works out, wish the best for both of them. Okafor's definitely one of those nice-guy big men that I wish Tim Duncan could've developed.

Wednesday, July 22, 2009

Does it matter how long you play college?

I was kind of speculating. My guess is that it really doesn't, since the talent level varies significantly, and people have different reasons for leaving or staying in school. Nonetheless, since I haven't done any of these speculations in a while, here we have it:

High School Only

PG Monta Ellis Louis Williams
SG Kobe Bryant Stephen Jackson
SF LeBron James Tracy McGrady Rashard Lewis
PF Kevin Garnett Amar'e Stoudemire
C Dwight Howard Al Jefferson Andrew Bynum




One and Done

PG Derrick Rose Jamal Crawford
SG OJ Mayo Corey Maggette
SF Kevin Durant Carmelo Anthony Luol Deng
PF Lamar Odom Anthony Randolph Zach Randolph
C Chris Bosh Spencer Hawes




Sophomore Sensation

PG Chris Paul Chauncey Billups Gilbert Arenas
SG Joe Johnson Jason Richardson
SF Caron Butler Andre Iguodala Rudy Gay
PF Elton Brand LaMarcus Aldridge
C Rasheed Wallace Brook Lopez




Juniors

PG Deron Williams Devin Harris
SG Dwayne Wade Ray Allen Vince Carter
SF Paul Pierce Shawn Marion
PF Carlos Boozer Antawn Jamison
C Marcus Camby Emeka Okafor Al Horford




College Graduates

PG Jameer Nelson Steve Nash Jason Terry
SG Brandon Roy
Danny Granger

SF Tayshaun Prince Shane Battier Josh Howard
PF Tim Duncan David West
C Brad Miller Brendan Haywood




Foreign Club

PG Tony Parker Jose Calderon
SG Manu Ginobili Rudy Fernandez
SF Hedo Turkoglu Andrei Kirilenko
PF Pau Gasol Dirk Nowitzki Nene Hilario
C Yao Ming Mehmet Okur Marc Gasol

Now granted some of the one and done players might have tried to go into the NBA straight out of college (2006 and later) but for now, it seems we have a pretty good spread. What's your take? Juniors are pretty stacked.