Friday, February 13, 2009

And so ends the Shawn Marion saga... in Miami...

This was recently announced.  Marion and Banks for Moon and O'Neal.  An interesting trade, that I think generally works for both sides.  Miami definitely needs a low post presence, and O'Neal provides that should he be able to stay healthy.  While O'Neal won't be the primary option, Wade probably won't take away from his (O'Neal's) game as much as someone on the low block as Bosh would.  This is interesting for Toronto because what this does is shifts the front court into looking something like Marion, Bargnani, and Bosh, not sure who'll guard who, but likely on the offense Bargnani will serve more as shooter in the wing while Marion hits the glass.  I would imagine that Calderon would help Marion, but then again, Calderon is known for being ultra-conservative on the offense, so not sure how well that'll work.  Banks is just a name that I think Miami wants to get off the roster, and as of right now, I'm sure that Toronto will take any offensive wing help they can get, which understandably is why they're getting rid of Moon too.  Moon helps defensively in the 3 slot where there already is a bit of firepower with Beasley and Wade.  Interesting to see who will start, my hunch is Moon, with Beasley as the scoring punch off the bench.  

Guess they're not going for Amar'e anymore.

More Amar'e rumors and what they mean...

Yahoo! is suggesting that Pat Riley of the Miami Heat is dead set on getting Amar'e Stoudemire.  His proposal involves getting Memphis involved in the deal.  From the looks of things, Miami would ship out Beasley (Memphis) and Marion (Phoenix), Memphis would give up Gay (Phoenix), and Phoenix would then send the troubled big man to Miami.  For those who need visuals; see Exhibit A. I threw in Dudley to make the money work, so it could as easily be another player, but Dudley is kind of the most redudant player.  The centerpieces ultimately would be the four players mentioned above.  

It's interesting that the Heat make this kind of move because it first shows how desperate they are for an interior presence, so much so that they'd be willing to give up the 2nd overall pick halfway through his rookie year.  While Beasley has been kind of underwhelming, he's been learning and growing.  Regardless, I see that since Phoenix has to throw in another player, Heat might ask for a wing player since they're stripping out both of their SFs, otherwise their 3 spot will be kind of thin.  Memphis probably just wants a change of scenery, since Gay and Mayo obviously aren't playing well together, and in Gay Phoenix gets another scoring option, though his defense has been somewhat suspect, so not sure how that works, don't think Matt Barnes will be happy with less playing time either.  However, here's how I think the rosters will pan out should this trade go through:

Miami Heat
PG - Mario Chalmers, Chris Quinn
SG - Dwayne Wade, Daequan Cook
SF - James Jones, Jared Dudley, Yakhouba Diawara
PF - Udonis Haslem, Mark Blount
C - Amar'e Stoudemire, Jamaal Magloire, Joel Anthony

Of course, Amar'e complained about playing center before, but maybe he doesn't mind anymore so long as he gets his touches. 

Memphis Grizzlies
PG - Mike Conley, Kyle Lowry
SG - OJ Mayo, Greg Buckner
SF - Michael Beasley, Quinton Ross
PF - Darrell Arthur, Hakim Warrick
C - Marc Gasol, Hamed Haddadi

Phoenix Suns
PG - Steve Nash, Leandro Barbosa, Goran Dragic
SG - Jason Richardson, Matt Barnes
SF - Rudy Gay, Grant Hill
PF - Shawn Marion, Louis Amundson
C - Shaquille O'Neal, Robin Lopez

Actually, if you look at that team, they're going to be a short team, Marion is only 6-7, though he plays like he's bigger.  Additionally, if Kerr takes over potentially for Terry Porter, as murmurs suspect on the internet, it's possible that we might see more running, which might make this lineup make a little more sense.  Kerr's original vision for the team was to keep the offense but improve the defense.

Thursday, February 12, 2009

I might have to change my pick to win the ASG...

Now that Chris Bosh is no longer playing and they got, of all people Mo Williams to replace him (I personally would've gone with Antawn Jamison or Andre Iguodala or something) the matchups are going to be... interesting to say the least.  Granted it is the ASG, so no one really cares about defense, it's worth noting that outside of Dwight Howard there is no other center on the team and outside of Kevin Garnett there is no other true power forward on the team (Rashard Lewis is not a true power forward).  Sure the starters look evenly matched:

ASG Starters

EAST

WEST

Point Guard

Allen Iverson

Chris Paul

Shooting Guard

Dwayne Wade

Kobe Bryant

Small Forward

LeBron James

Amar’e Stoudemire

Power Forward

Kevin Garnett

Tim Duncan

Center

Dwight Howard

Yao Ming


Except for maybe that LeBron/Amar'e mismatch, but all in all it looks solid.  However, if we go to the reserves:

ASG Reserves

EAST

WEST

Point Guard

Devin Harris

Mo Williams

Tony Parker

Chauncey Billups

Shooting Guard

Joe Johnson

Ray Allen

Brandon Roy

Small Forward

Danny Granger

Paul Pierce

 

Power Forward

Rashard Lewis

Pau Gasol

Dirk Nowitzki

David West

Center

 

Shaquille O’Neal


By no means are Gasol, Nowitzki, or West extremely difficult covers for Lewis, though Gasol might be for his size.  What wins out here though?  Size or speed?  No way Nowitzki or West could stay in front of Granger or Pierce, but no way could Lewis keep Shaq out of the paint.  Unless they play Dwight Howard 48 minutes, which would be dumb.

An interesting note is that the West has the perfect team to play 2-3 zone defense, but also, the East has exactly the kind of offensive game (lots of shooters: Williams, Johnson, Granger, Lewis, Allen, even Pierce) to destroy zone.

What do you think?

On a side note:

Mo Williams was also selected to replace Jameer Nelson in the Playstation Skills Challenge, I still say Derrick Rose takes this.

JR Smith was seleceted to replace Rudy Gay, who is suffering from a hip flexor, in the Sprite Slam Dunk Challenge.  JR Smith was a participant in the 2005 Slam Dunk Contest and lost to Josh Smith that year.  Smith changes things up, I think he's more explosive, so he could bring something back to it.  I look for him and Rudy Fernandez to spice things up, though, I can't say my expectations for Rudy are that high.

Wednesday, February 11, 2009

How desperate is Rob Sarver?

A lot of people are reporting that Rob Sarver really wants to just to pay less and therefore is shopping major pieces including Amar'e Stoudemire.  It's been no secret that Amar'e isn't fitting with the new Suns.  However, Sarver's antics are making the Suns look desperate, which is a formula for fleecing.

How desperate is Sarver?  

As a Knicks fan, I'm hoping this desperate.

Tuesday, February 10, 2009

All Cavs fans can stop crying now...

I don't know that it's necessarily Cavs fans more than pundits, but I could be wrong.  I mean, I don't think you should put the second best player on the winningest team in the All-Star game just because he's exactly that, the second-best player on the winningest team.  I mean, if there are players from other teams that are better, contributing more, and being more effective than the second-best player then they should get in over said second-best player.  

Nonetheless, it's official, Mo Williams is an All-Star.  Since Chris Bosh will not be playing, the "snub" will be snubbed no longer, as David Stern reaches over and picks Mo Williams to replace Bosh in the roster.  The East now has an interesting look, flooring Dwayne Wade, Allen Iverson, LeBron James, Kevin Garnett, and Dwight Howard as starters, with Devin Harris, Joe Johnson, Ray Allen, Danny Granger, Paul Pierce, Rashard Lewis, and now Mo Williams coming off the bench as reserves.  Small.

Nonetheless, I'm going to rant a little more about why Mo Williams was never "snubbed" and why this is just really a lucky break for him.  I mean, on any other given day, I'm pretty sure everyone would pick Chris Bosh over Mo Williams any day.

Ok, so let's first look at the arguments why Mo Williams should have been selected to play in the ASG.

1.) The Cavs are 39-10, 36-9 at the time of the announcement, 34-8 by the time votes were all submitted, at the time best in the Eastern Conference.

2.) Last season, before Mo Williams was acquired the Cavs were 45-37, that's a 0.549 win percentage.  Now they're at 0.796 and the only way they could do worse than last season is to go worse than 16-27 for the rest of the season.

3.) Zyrdunas Ilgauskas was injured at the time of the voting, and besides, Mo Williams has the 2nd highest scoring average on the team.

Ok... So, the Cavs are doing better, and since Mo Williams was the major off-season acquisition, he's obviously the reason why.  Hm... questionable.  I'll say that he helps, but he's not the only reason.  I think that an All-Star berth is more of an individual accolade than it is a team reward, that's what the playoffs and Finals are for.

First, let's get this straight: Mo Williams is not playing better basketball in Cleveland.  Let's take a look at the numbers:

Mo Williams

Cleveland Cavaliers

(2008-2009)

Milwaukee Bucks

(2007-2008)

Points

17.1

17.2

Rebounds

3.3

3.5

Assists

4.2

6.5

Steals

0.8

1.2

Blocks

0.1

0.2

Turnovers

2.3

2.8

Field Goal %

46.1%

48.0%

Free Throw %

94.3%

85.6%

3 point %

39.8%

38.5%

3 points made

1.9

1.4

Minutes per game

34:12

36:30

Ok, so his scoring and rebounding are virtually the same, he's doing it in fewer minutes though, so that's a plus.  However, I'd argue that it's because he's making more 3s because he's getting more looks.  His turnovers are down marginally, but that's just because he has the ball in his hands less, an inherent inevitability when you're teammates with LeBron James, which explains why his assists are down, because he's not intiating the offense.  So if Mo Williams was never All-Star caliber when playing for a crappy Bucks squad, why is he being lauded now that he's doing the exact same thing on a good Cavs team?  So, if Troy Murphy averaged 11 points and 13 rebounds for Atlanta (4th in the East) instead of Indiana (13th in the East) then he should automatically get All-Star consideration?  Seriously?  Does the winning record make him that much better than everyone else? 

“Snubs”

Mo Williams

Andre Iguodala

Hedo Turkoglu

Josh Smith

Points

17.1

17.8

17.2

16.0

Rebounds

3.3

6.1

5.3

7.7

Assists

4.2

5.3

4.9

2.5

Steals

0.8

1.7

0.9

1.4

Blocks

0.1

0.4

0.3

1.6

Turnovers

2.3

2.8

2.7

2.5

Field Goal %

46.1%

47.3%

40.5%

49.0%

Free Throw %

94.3%

74.5%

80.4%

59.0%

3 point %

39.8%

29.3%

36.4%

24.1%

3 points made

1.9

0.9

1.9

0.3

Minutes per game

34:12

38:42

36:53

35:47


So Mo Williams is automatically better than Iggy, Hedo, and Smith simply because his team won more games?  Ok, so some people think that 3 Magic in the ASG is unsconsciable, because it just happens that their entire starting lineup has been carrying them through games because their bench sucks, it's not like I'm crying for Mickael Pietrus to make it?  I'm not going to get into that.

Second argument is that Williams just makes the Cavs that much better.  I don't think it's Williams, I just think the Cavs improved.  There's not much else to it.  Delonte West is playing better, Zyrdunas Ilgauskas is playing better, heck Wally Sczerbiak is playing better.  Mike Brown has figured out an offense beyond pass and isolate LeBron 30 ft out from the basket.  Sure Mo Williams was a major addition, and definitely an upgrade over Daniel Gibson as a starter, but still, it's not like he's the only reason the Cavs are winning, and just because the Cavs are winning, shouldn't be the only reason that he gets an ASG berth.

That being said, he's in, so congrats Mo.  From my perspective though, you got lucky.

Monday, February 9, 2009

Something about David West always rubbed me the wrong way...

I don't know what it was, but just something about it...

Maybe it was this: